Seminario 16/01: R. Valero (U. Alicante) – Synthetic Control Method versus Standard Statistic Techniques a Comparison for Labor Market Reforms

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Abstract The aim of this paper is to create counterfactual series in a reliable way and illustrate its use. The present literature is dominated by the Synthetic Control Method (SCM), but there are cases where it cannot perform and it was not created considering the trade-off between bias and variance, hence the accuracy of results…

4 Diciembre: Seminario 2015/28 – J.A. García-Martínez (U. Miguel Hernández) – A theory of media self-silence

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Abstract This paper proposes a theory of media silence. The argument is that news organizations have the power to raise public concern and so affect the probability that there is ex-post verification of the true state of the world. Following the seminal article by Gentzkow and Shapiro (2006), we consider a newspaper that seeks to…

27 Noviembre: Seminario 2015/27 – M.M. Sánchez de la Vega (U. Murcia) – El rechazo al fraude fiscal en España: Antes y después de la Gran crisis

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Abstract This paper analyzes the rejection of tax fraud in Spain before and after the Great Depression and studies the role of certain determinants of two categories: internal or individual, and contextual, social or institutional. We use a logit model obtaining that the rejection of tax evasion depends positively on individual variables such as age…

13 Noviembre: Seminario 2015/25 – M.V. Caballero (U. Murcia) – Gráficos de Recurrencia Simbólicos

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Abstract Análogamente a como los gráficos de recurrencia permiten visualizar la correlación integral de una serie temporal, definimos la herramienta gráfica para la correlación integral simbólica de una serie vectorial, son los gráficos de recurrencia simbólicos y gráficos de recurrencia simbólicos coloreados.Estos gráficos informan sobre la estructura de la serie como se ilustrara con distintos…