Seminario 22/14. Paul De Grauwe (London School of Economics and Political Sciences) – Trust and monetary policy

Información

El eminente economista Paul De Grauwe, en la víspera del día de la ceremonia en la que tendrá lugar su investidura como Doctor Honoris Causa de la Universidad de Murcia, impartirá un seminario/conferencia dirigido a los estudiantes del programa de doctorado DEcIDE y, en general, a todos los estudiantes y profesores de la Facultad de Economía y Empresa.

Abstract

Trust impacts many aspects of economic life and plays some role in standard macroeconomic models. This seminar analyses the importance of trust in a more systematic way using a behavioural macroeconomic model. The authors find that large negative supply shocks lead to a bifurcation between good and bad trajectories of output, inflation, and trust. Initial conditions matter in determining which trajectory will be chosen. The model helps to understand and predict the experience of the 1970s with the supply shocks and the recent Covid supply shock.